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Mexican Election Coverage

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  • Mexican Election Coverage

    Mexican Election Coverage

    Mexico’s presidential race is heating up ahead of the July 1 election. Here’s all you need to know today—in less than two minutes—about the state of play: polls, financial indicators and major news.

    Pemex Races to Seal Deals Before New Government June 20, 2018, 9:59 AM CDT

    Petroleos Mexicanos is doubling down on efforts to seal oil deals and issue bonds before the end of the year, when a new government will sweep into power. It aims to finalize three refinery joint-ventures, tweak the terms of two failed farm-out auctions for offshore fields, hold a new tender for 11 onshore areas, and borrow as much as $3.5 billion.

    Should Mexico’s leading presidential contender Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador win the July 1 vote, such activity could prove more difficult. The leftist candidate is seeking to slow down, if not halt, the 2013 reforms that opened the oil industry to private companies after nearly eight decades of state control, allowing Pemex to share its oil territory in exchange for much-needed investment.

    Political uncertainty could dampen interest in an October auction for Pemex to partner with private companies to develop seven onshore areas, as well as potentially another 11 next year and two offshore fields that failed to attract bids last year.

    Lopez Obrador has said that he could suspend or cancel Mexico’s competitive oil auctions, which Pemex has participated in aggressively, winning the highest number of contracts of any other bidders. And he will review contracts already awarded.

    Pemex CEO Carlos Trevino, the third in only two years, is likely to be replaced by someone of the new government’s choosing, as is customary when Mexico elects a new president. While Pemex’s last two government-picked chiefs have sought to assuage investors’ concerns by promising continuity with the goals of their predecessor, this time change is the order of the day.

  • #2

    Mireles: I ask Pena Nieto to keep his hands off the election

    When we were in Zacatecas presenting our book, when we were leaving Zacatecas we found 18 military trailers that were arriving in Zacatecas with war tanks. Each trailer brought a war tank and a tank, where will the war be?

    Is the Mexican Army preparing to assassinate Mexicans in the states of the Republic if we grumble or protest to defend the vote? What is it? See in the future of Mexico? I see it, because I already lived that war in which I participated, and people are still watching soap operas and football. They do not see the military trucks full of tanks of war that circulate around the nation to put themselves in the places where they think there will be an answer.

    -But if a fraud is carried out doctor , will there be bloodshed?

    Yes, there will be. Take it for granted. I'm not going to start it, nor am I organizing it, let it be clear. I am an enemy of weapons, I used them in my town, because they did not leave me another way, in my land. But the whole Nation is the same as in Michoacán.


    • #3
      Why the upcoming presidential election in Mexico matters to Americans: COLUMN
      While Pena Nieto, the incumbent president of Mexico, has infrequently pushed back against Trump, he has been very circumspect in his words and actions. He has tried to keep the ties between Mexico and America strong.
      Nieto is limited to one term and his likely successor will be Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, a left-leaning nationalist known by many as AMLO.
      AMLO is more than 20 points ahead of his nearest competitor and has a very high probability of winning by a landslide. He has gone out of his way to say relations with the United States will change and has promised to confront Trump forcefully as president.
      “Trump and his advisers speak of the Mexicans the way Hitler and the Nazis referred to the Jews, just before undertaking the infamous persecution and the abominable extermination,” he said recently about the Trump administration.
      I can point to three reasons why AMLO is likely to succeed overwhelmingly in his election in 10 days.
      1. As we have seen in America, and in many countries throughout the world, there is a rising tide of nationalism that is occurring. Many citizens have been left behind in the global economy and a wave of protectionism has gripped people in their frustration and anger. Without leaders offering a new thoughtful international approach and incumbent leaders trying to protect the status quo, many voters are turning inward and looking to protect only their country.
      President Macron of France and Trudeau of Canada were able to succeed in this environment of global fear because they were able to speak compellingly for change and hope without resorting to nationalism. The incumbent legacy parties in Mexico do not have candidates who were inspirational or who presented a platform of change, and thus a leftist nationalist will likely be elected in Mexico.
      2. For nearly a century, power in Mexico has been held by the two major incumbent parties -- PRI and PAN -- and voters in Mexico are tired of this status quo. While AMLO has been popular in past elections he was never able to beat the incumbent parties, but today voters feel unrepresented by these two parties and are willing to go for something new and different. We see this same phenomenon beginning to occur in the United States. The fastest rising and largest group of voters in America are independents. Both major parties are viewed unfavorably by a majority of Americans even though Democrats have an advantage now over Republicans. Moreover, there are not many viable independents who are running for office, but that day is coming.
      Though AMLO represents a minor party, he is seen as an independent and will win in part because of that.

      more at link...


      • #4
        Mexico: More Mayoral Candidates Murdered Days Before Elections

        Fernando Angeles Juarez, shot dead leaving his hotel Posada del Bosque in the state of Michoacan on Thursday morning, is the 121st candidate to be killed.

        Yet another Mexican candidate was murdered on early Thursday morning, just days ahead of the July 1 general elections, bringing the total number of politicians killed since September 2017 to 121.

        Fernando Angeles Juarez, the mayoral candidate for the Democratic Revolution Party in Ocampo, was gunned down leaving his hotel Posada del Bosque in the state of Michoacan. Angeles died at the scene and no suspects have yet been identified.

        His death brings the number of politicians murdered since September 2017 to 121, making this the most violent electoral season in Mexico's history.

        Hours before, Omar Gomez Lucatero, an independent candidate for mayor of Aguililla in Michoacan, was murdered Wednesday night next to the local cemetery, close to a military barracks.

        The governor of Michoacan vowed to carry out detailed investigations to find the people responsible.

        According to consulting firm Etellekt, there have been 121 murders and 400 attacks against politicians since September 2017. Out of the murdered, 29 were precandidates and 16 candidates, and 80 of them belonged to opposition parties. The rest were mayors, former mayors, militants, social leaders, councilors or representatives.

        The same firm also recorded 351 murders against non-elected government officers.


        • #5
          129 is the new assassination tally, as another candidate is murdered and four others

          Chivis Martinez for Borderland Beat from EFE

          Emigdio López Avendaño, a Morena party candidate for the Congress of Oaxaca and four members of the party were killed. Two more were wounded but only one required hospitalization, said the Oaxaca Prosecutor's Office.

          The armed attack occurred on the road from San Vicente Coatlán to Ejutla de Crespo , an area where López Avendaño was a candidate for local congressman.

          Salomón Jara Cruz, coordinator of Morena in the region and candidate for this party of the Mexican Senate, condemned the assassination and asked Alejandro Murat, governor of Oaxaca, not to allow the act go unpunished.
          With these deaths, the number of political actors murdered during the current electoral campaign in Mexico is raised to 129.

          Since the beginning of the electoral process on September 8, 2017 there have been more than 543 direct attacks, with 129 politicians murdered.

          In the elections of July 1st, the new President of Mexico, 500 congressmen and 128 senators of the Federal Congress, along with local authorities in 30 of the 32 states of the country will be elected .


          • #6
            132 political murders since September compared to just nine six years ago


            The election tomorrow, July 1, has been called the largest in Mexico's history. That is based on the number of municipal, state, and federal elections being held. Accordingly it could also be based on the number of candidates on the ballots. But it could also be based on the number of candidates murdered since early Sept. when the official campaign cycle began.

            The numbers were revealed this week by the risk analysis firm Etellekt.

            Forty eight (48) candidates were assassinated since Sept. In the 2012 election when Pena Nieto was elected there was one (1) candidate murdered.

            When you add the 48 murdered candidates to the other politicians who were assassinated in this election cycle the total rises to 132 murders. "Other politicians" include pre-candidates, militant party members, former and current mayors, councilors, political activists, party leaders, former candidates and former members of council and Congress are all represented in the 132 political murders recorded. There were just 9 recorded in the 2011-2012 cycle.

            more at link...


            • #7
              Guide to Mexico presidential election Sunday: AMLO leads, other races, about the voting


              MEXICO CITY — On Sunday, Mexicans will elect a new president and numerous other officeholders. With popular discontent high due to high murder rates and rampant corruption, all four candidates are trying to convince voters that they represent change from the status quo.
              The presidency

              Mexico's next leader will serve a six-year term ending in late 2024 and will be constitutionally barred from seeking re-election at the end of his six-year term.

              The front-runner in most polls is Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, or AMLO, of the leftist National Regeneration Movement, known by a Spanish acronym of its syllables, Morena. AMLO is trailed by conservative Ricardo Anaya, of the National Action Party, or PAN, in a right-left coalition that also includes Lopez Obrador's former party, the Party of the Democratic Revolution, or PRD. Jose Antonio Meade of the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party, or PRI, is generally in third place. And Independent candidate Jaime Rodriguez Calderon has been polling a distant fourth, in single digits. Candidates win with a plurality of the votes and there is no runoff.

              Only two parties have occupied the presidency in modern Mexican history: The PRI, from 1929 to 2000 and again since 2012 under current President Enrique Pena Nieto; and the PAN, from 2000 to 2012.

              The next president will take office on Dec. 1, five months after the election.
              Other offices

              Mexicans will also be voting for an all-new Congress — 128 seats in the Senate and 500 in the Chamber of Deputies — as well as state legislatures, eight governorships, the head of government for Mexico City and nearly 1,600 mayors across the nation. In all, there are some 17,670 names on ballots at the federal, state and local level.

              More: Mexican candidate, party leader killed in Chihuahua as fears of election violence ignite

              More: Murders in Mexico border city of Juárez continue to rise as deaths top 160 in June alone
              About the voting

              Polls open at 8 a.m. and remain open until 6 p.m. in each of Mexico's three summer time zones, with the last to close coming in the northwestern state of Baja California.
              Nearly 90 million Mexicans are registered to vote, something that comes automatically when citizens receive their government ID cards at age 18.

              In the last presidential election, in 2012, just over 50 million people cast ballots, for a turnout of about 63 percent.
              About the country

              Mexico is home to some 120 million people, the third most populous nation in the Western Hemisphere after the United States and Brazil, and it covers more than 750,000 square miles (1.9 million square kilometers) of terrain, about one-fifth the size of the United States.

              Mexico had a gross domestic product of about $1.2 trillion last year, making it the world's 15th largest economy, according to International Monetary Fund figures. Leading industries include petroleum, tourism, agriculture and manufacturing. Remittances from migrants living abroad also pump billions of dollars into the economy each year.

              The United States is by far Mexico's biggest trade partner, with the two doing more than $600 billion in two-way trade each year.

              About half the country's people live below the poverty line.


              • #8
                Mexico's New President's agenda includes amnesty for drug growers, kingpins

                Trump reveals this morning he spoke to AMLO saying "we had a good conversation about a half hour long”. They spoke about border security, NAFTA, trade and the possibility of a separate trade treaty between Mexico and United States. Trump said he had a conversation with AMLO during one of his previous campaigns, at which time Trump told him, “someday you will be the president of Mexico”. . Something that AMLO remembers. Trump thinks they will have a good relationship but says “we will see.”

                Mexico’s new president "AMLO" views that are radically different that the past:

                *It is not the problem or responsibility of Mexico to help the United States fight its “Drug War”

                *Amnesty for drug kingpins and growers of marijuana and opium poppy plants

                *Greatly reduce Mexico’s military in the fight against cartels

                *AMLO’s suggestion regarding the U.S. border; he says the United States should send its military to guard its borders.

                *Open Borders: He is in support of “Open Borders” and has no interest in helping the United States in its “illegal immigrant” problem

                Mexico has a new president, at the end of its bloodiest campaign in history with over 130 murdered candidates. [22 of Mexico's 31 states have seen a political assassination since campaigning began in September. According to according to Etellekt, a crisis management group]

                The newly elected leader, a leftist populist whose long political marathon, has finally crossed the victory marker, in impressive fashion. He had stated, this was his last presidential campaign.

                For Andrés Manuel López Obrador, 64, of the more commonly known as “AMLO”, third time was the charm. In his previous presidential attempts, [2006, 2012, 2018] AMLO failed to win the hearts and minds of the wealthy. In this go around, the Morena political party candidate, was able to connect a broad group of supporters, even wealthy voters. Citizens who perhaps, are exasperated at the failed policies of the past, and the inability of previous administrations to curb deepened violence and corruption in Mexico.

                In 2006, he refused to accept his narrow presidential election defeat, calling the election as fraud. This triggered mass protests in the Zocalo in Mexico City that lasted a month.

                The new president whose agenda has always had its focus on poverty, and corruption, which he feels are tormentors that are joined at the hip. However, how he will be able to amend those issues remains unclear.

                As the former head of Mexico City, he was unable to achieve those goals.

                As for drugs and kingpins, AMLO is thinking maybe a deal with the devil is the path to stride. Saying perhaps that is the way to peace in a country that has lost 100’s of thousands of lives in its war against cartels. He must have forgotten that types of deals were what got Mexico to place it now finds itself in.

                He wants to sit down and negotiate. Even release the kingpins from prison. A caveat being, saying, “If it is necessary … we will talk about granting amnesty so long as the victims and their families are willing,” he said.

                And immigration? Let’s look at the hypocrisy of Mexico. Mexico has some of the toughest immigration laws on the planet. Some align with what President Trump is hoping for. It has a point system, stringent requirements, such as a personal connection to Mexico, and over a certain age, financial proof requirement, or a large business investment.

                And let’s not forget the harsh treatment of immigrants while travelling in Mexico from its southern border. According to Amnesty International some 12k economic migrants “disappear” each year, thousands of others are forcibly taken into servitude by the cartels. Few care about migrants in Mexico, clearly not Mexican citizens, or its government. There is little protection for migrants in Mexico other than religious based shelters like “Casa Migrante”. And the government has deemed it illegal for migrants housed in shelter to stay for more than two days or be arrested.

                So, the government “dismay” and those wealthy kids protesting at Zocalo against the U.S. and its immigration policies, should not fool anyone.

                more at link!!


                • #9
                  The comments are O-O !! i.e. everything from - if he lets cartels out of jail etc, expect drone attacks on them from the USA, to !!


                  • #10
                    World News
                    July 4, 2018 / 7:04 AM / Updated 3 hours ago
                    RIP PRI? Mexico's ruling party in 'intensive care' after drubbing
                    Dave Graham


                    Lopez Obrador and Mexican President Peña Nieto meet and talk transition


                    In general, Lopez Obrador has blamed violence on rampant inequality and a lack of opportunity and social mobility for many Mexicans, especially the young. He has said that he opposes fighting “violence with violence,” but would seek to improve economic horizons for all so that many people did not have to turn to crime.

                    Lopez Obrador, who blamed electoral fraud for his two previous defeats, praised how the process unfolded Sunday.

                    “There was no factional intervention by the apparatus of the state in the electoral process,” he said, giving credit to Peña Nieto for “free and clean” elections. “That was something we hadn’t seen in recent times.”

                    On Tuesday, he reiterated a number of campaign promises, including cost-cutting measures that he said would free up funding for boosting pensions, scholarships and other social programs.


                    • #11
                      Chihuahua: Voting in Mexico, with an AK-47 in tow


                      A man armed with a cuerno de chivo (AK47) casting a vote in a Chihuahua voting booth

                      The "Together we will make history" coalition, led by Morena, swept the candidacies in the municipality of Juarez and the majority of municipalities in the Mexican state of Chihuahua, with the exception of the capital and mountain communities (Sierra Tarahumara), which went to PAN and PRI. These towns are reportedly controlled by narcos (drug traffickers).

                      The Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) won only 21 municipalities, including Balleza and also in Batopilas, Cusihuiriachi, Chínipas, Guachochi, Guadalupe and Calvo, Huejotitán, Mahuarichi, Ocampo, Matachí.

                      Readers will recognize those Chihuahua municipalities as some of the most violent in the cartel war.